Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000574 0.000655 0.000741 0.000838 0.000946 0.001061 0.001192
2025-10-26 0.000445 0.000555 0.000680 0.000832 0.001010 0.001211 0.001454
2025-11-02 0.000380 0.000504 0.000652 0.000838 0.001066 0.001331 0.001663
2025-11-09 0.000327 0.000459 0.000623 0.000837 0.001107 0.001432 0.001848
2025-11-16 0.000276 0.000409 0.000580 0.000811 0.001112 0.001483 0.001971
2025-11-23 0.000238 0.000369 0.000546 0.000792 0.001121 0.001537 0.002095
2025-11-30 0.000210 0.000343 0.000525 0.000788 0.001147 0.001611 0.002245
2025-12-07 0.000188 0.000320 0.000508 0.000786 0.001174 0.001685 0.002395
2025-12-14 0.000166 0.000296 0.000486 0.000775 0.001187 0.001740 0.002521
2025-12-21 0.000146 0.000273 0.000464 0.000761 0.001194 0.001786 0.002634
2025-12-28 0.000138 0.000266 0.000465 0.000781 0.001249 0.001897 0.002837
2026-01-04 0.000128 0.000256 0.000461 0.000792 0.001291 0.001992 0.003020
2026-01-11 0.000114 0.000240 0.000445 0.000785 0.001307 0.002051 0.003157
2026-01-18 0.000102 0.000224 0.000429 0.000777 0.001321 0.002107 0.003290
2026-01-25 0.000094 0.000215 0.000423 0.000783 0.001356 0.002194 0.003469
2026-02-01 0.000086 0.000203 0.000413 0.000782 0.001378 0.002263 0.003624
2026-02-08 0.000075 0.000185 0.000389 0.000757 0.001364 0.002276 0.003696
2026-02-15 0.000065 0.000171 0.000370 0.000739 0.001357 0.002301 0.003785
2026-02-22 0.000059 0.000161 0.000360 0.000735 0.001373 0.002359 0.003925
2026-03-01 0.000054 0.000153 0.000352 0.000733 0.001392 0.002421 0.004071
2026-03-08 0.000048 0.000143 0.000339 0.000723 0.001397 0.002461 0.004185
2026-03-15 0.000043 0.000133 0.000325 0.000710 0.001395 0.002491 0.004284
2026-03-22 0.000041 0.000132 0.000329 0.000728 0.001448 0.002609 0.004518